By AARON M. ALTSCHUL and HAROLD L. WILCKE (Eds.)
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The production trend of the latter countries has noticeably outpaced moderate population growth, while for the less-industrialized countries, the trend of production only slightly exceeded the trend of population. Industrialized Countries Fig. 2. Less I n d u s t r i a l i z e d C o u n t r i e s Trends in food production and population for industrialized and less-industrialized coun- tries (ERS, 1974; Schertz, 1977). //. Food and 27 People 80 r 120 V 1955'60 Fig. 3. 1977). '65 '70 '75 Trends in food production per capita for industrialized countries (ERS, 1974; Schertz, These contrasts hold good as well for the individual countries in the two groups.
For the first 60 years there was no major change in trend: yields hovered around a long time average of about 25 bushels per acre. Any trend projector in the early 1930's, called upon to project corn yields for 1945 to 1950, would have forecast a figure of about 25 bushels. Only twice, in 1905 and 1906, did the average yield reach 31 and 32 bushels. But by 1950, average yields had already departed from the long historic plateau. Following the advent of hybrid seed, average yield per acre rose to close to 40 bushels and, with the spread in the use of fertilizer in the 1950's and 1960's, another 40 bushels was added to average yields.
By 1986 the official projections show that the rural population is still expected to be very high, as high as 76% of the total projected population of 734 million. Labor force projections do not show even this small shift toward industrialization. The Report of India's Finance Commission (India, 1969), shows that states with 73% rural population (Maharasthra and Gujarat) had a per capita income (in 1961) twice that of the poorest states (Bihar and Orissa) with about 93% rural population. It is of interest to note that in the United States in the South, a reduction in the percent of the working population in agriculture during the 1950's and I960's from 42 to 15% was accompanied by a doubling of per capita income (in constant prices) (ERS, 1976a).
Animal Protein Supplies by AARON M. ALTSCHUL and HAROLD L. WILCKE (Eds.)